Polymarket 每日洞察

2026-06-02

🔥 今日精選

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
買入 NO $0.67優勢 3.5%信心 75%
Recent news indicates a dimming of prospects for a US-Iran nuclear deal by the deadline, with the White House stance and former President Trump's 'no…

📝 每日市場敘事

2026年6月2日 Polymarket 市場摘要
整體市場趨勢顯示,分析師普遍採取謹慎態度,持有(HOLD)建議佔絕大多數,顯示市場對當前預測缺乏明確的看漲動能。買入(BUY_YES)建議為零,而賣出(BUY_NO)建議則有9筆,這可能反映了對某些事件結果的預期偏向負面。
熱門類別方面,其他類別的分析數量最多,達到12筆,顯示市場對非加密貨幣相關事件的關注度較高。加密貨幣類別僅有1筆分析。

分析 77 個市場,9 個可執行機會

📊 市場概覽

活躍市場
100
24h 成交量
$86.8M
加密市場情緒
偏空
加密貨幣 2 個 · $626.8K體育 60 個 · $65.0M政治 20 個 · $12.3M其他 12 個 · $6.9M經濟 6 個 · $1.9M

📈 價格異動 & 成交量排行

價格變動
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?-5.0%34% → 28%AI看跌
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end…-3.0%18% → 16%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?+3.0%12% → 14%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?+1.4%4% → 5%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensi…+1.0%56% → 57%
成交量排行
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.0M
Knicks vs. Spurs$6.0M
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electi…$3.3M
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.2M
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.2M
新上架市場
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-9.5)YES $0.50[體育]
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETYES $0.50[加密貨幣]
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETYES $0.50[加密貨幣]
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETYES $0.50[加密貨幣]
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETYES $0.50[加密貨幣]

🏆 AI 預測績效

勝率
88.0%
校準分數
0.095
已結算
4373
超越基準
+1.7%
其他 88% (3702)加密貨幣 88% (592)科技 96% (51)娛樂 100% (28)

📋 持倉快照

活躍持倉
1
總投入
$27
未實現損益
$-6 (-21.3%)
✅ 無風險警報

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